Try as we might to work an angle, there is only one place to
start a preview for the second npower Test at Headingley between England and
South Africa.
After six Tests without a change and 17 without Andrew
Flintoff, England welcome back the all-rounder on Friday morning. The nation has
leapt for its thesaurus - Symbolic! Iconic! Talismanic! - to acclaim the
Lancastrian and while some fear that too much is expected, others feel owed a
big performance or two. Amid the hysteria of 'easy money' in the IPL, Flintoff
has quietly collected over $1,000,000 from the ECB without putting on his
whites.
Most observers - particularly those who saw his wretched
early season batting for Lancashire - have predicted his return as one of four
bowlers but it was always more likely that he was restored to number six. That
has looked a notch too high throughout his career but best suits the balance of
the team - a privilege few nations enjoy with genuine all-rounders so scarce -
as well as ensuring that there is adequate cover should he suffer another ankle
relapse. Michael Vaughan is also worried about his bowlers suffering
back-to-back-Test fatigue after three largely fruitless days of toil in the
Lord's outfield.
Flintoff will replace Paul Collingwood unless Ryan Sidebottom
fails to recover from a back problem, though if the Yorkshireman's place were in
serious jeopardy England ought to have retained Chris Tremlett, who falls out of
the 12. There is universal sympathy for Collingwood because (a) he is such a
bloody nice bloke and (b) umpire Billy Bowden denied him the chance to impress
at Lord's with the purest of howlers. On form, though, the ODI captain ought to
have been rested some time ago.
England's obsession with Flintoff is understandably a source
of great amusement overseas but when fit and firing he is unique among the
world's fast bowlers in his ability to either take wickets or tie up an end to
order. His hands are almost as safe as Collingwood's at second slip and there
will be an extra spring in the step of every home player and punter, at least
until he comes in at 30/4 with Dale Steyn peppering yorkers at those giant feet.
If expectations should be tempered after so long out, it is
also worth noting that Leeds is not a happy hunting ground for Flintoff. Among
all Test venues in England, only at Trent Bridge has he worse batting and
bowling averages, and on his first outing here 10 years ago he bagged a pair...
against South Africa.
The home side will be encouraged by their excellent record at
Headingley though - three wins on the spin and six in the last nine - and the
conditions ought to suit local-lad-made-good Sidebottom and James Anderson,
particularly if the latter retains the exemplary discipline he showed at Lord's.
Even Monty Panesar has enjoyed himself in LS6 in the past but it is difficult to
expect too much of Stuart Broad, who last weekend was as stylish as David Gower
with the bat and as threatening with the ball.
One down in number, the batsmen are now under greater
pressure to meet the standards they set at Lord's. England really don't want to
see Flintoff without at least 250 (and better 330) on the board. Ian Bell must
use 199 as a starting point rather than a destination and Alastair Cook has
plenty to prove. It is easy to see Steyn haunting Vaughan all summer but in
Kevin Pietersen the home team have a formidable advantage.
South Africa profess to be in the highest of spirits after
saving a game that looked 'irretrievable' on Saturday. It was hardly one of the
great performances, though: Sri Lanka did exactly the same thing two years ago
and if it was a mistake to ask England to bat on such an easy first-day track
then matters were not much more demanding on day five. Graeme Smith will not
enjoy the same luxury here, a result pitch, and must improve his on-field
leadership.
With only Jacques Kallis failing to make a century in the top
five, runs ought not to be a problem though Headingley can prove problematic to
those unfamiliar with English conditions. Only Kallis and Smith have serious
county experience in the tourists' top seven and centurions Hashim Amla and
Ashwell Prince must be wary of lateral movement. The latter's fighting spirit
and former's wristy elegance bode well.
South Africa would certainly like to keep an unchanged top
order but Neil McKenzie, personification of the term 'watchful' last weekend, is
struggling with a groin injury. JP Duminy stands by to make his debut but Mickey
Arthur is confident the veteran will be available.
Far more concerning for Smith and Arthur are the bowlers.
Though not hyped quite to heady Flintoff-esque heights there was plenty of talk
about Steyn in particular going into Lord's but he fulfilled the maxim that if
you bowl fast and loose it simply gets to the boundary quicker. Morne Morkel
enhanced his reputation but Makhaya Ntini looked ready for the knackers' yard
five years after his historic ten-for. On that showing Ntini will not survive
the series but the tourists have indicated he will hold off Andre Nel in the
short term at least.
Paul Harris improved as the England innings went on and
deserved his dismissal of Bell but the home team will not be any more fearful
now than before seeing him in the flesh. Speaking of flesh, Kallis' paunch
increasingly resembles that of a provincial golf club pro but he took nine
wickets on his last visit to Leeds and may find his bowling well suited again. A
heavy workload will not improve his chances with the bat, however.
Key Players
England: Unlike fellow Lancastrian
Flintoff, Anderson ought to be well suited to Yorkshire
even if his one previous experience - against the Saffers in 2003 - was a
disappointment. If he can ally last weekend's accuracy with late swing then he
could be the most penetrative bowler on either side.
South Africa:
McKenzie, assuming fitness. The supposed weak link in the tourists' top
five, if he continues to play as well then South Africa may just have too many
runs for England over four Tests.
Prediction
Before the series we said South Africa 2-1 and would not
change it. After dominating at Lord's England look value to win at a ground that
really suits them. But don't rule out the Proteas over three Tests - in the past
they have thrown away series leads here, but this time have truer self-belief
and may turn the tables as they find their feet.
Last Five Head-to-Head
2008: 1st Test: Match drawn at Lord's, London.
2005: 5th Test: Match drawn at Supersport Park, Centurion.
2005: 4th Test: England won by 77 runs at New Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg.
2005: 3rd Test: South Africa won by 196 runs at Newlands, Cape Town.
2004: 2nd Test: Match drawn at Kingsmead, Durban.
Likely Teams
England: Alastair Cook, Andrew
Strauss, Michael Vaughan, Kevin Pietersen, Ian Bell, Andrew Flintoff, Tim
Ambrose, Stuart Broad, Ryan Sidebottom, Monty Panesar, James Anderson.
South Africa: Graeme Smith, Neil
McKenzie, Hashim Amla, Jacques Kallis, Ashwell Prince, AB de Villiers, Mark
Boucher, Paul Harris, Morne Morkel, Makhaya Ntini, Dale Steyn.
Dates: 18-22 July 11:00-13:00 local
time (BST) 13.40-15.40 local time (BST) 16.00-18.00 local time (BST).
Umpires: Daryl Harper and Billy Bowden Match Referees: Jeff Crowe and Ranjan Madugalle
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